Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday


	Eric Vanshelboim		Michele Mecarelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.75	2.06
	1.7	2.03
	1.73	2.03
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.71	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.56)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eric Vanshelboim
53.9%

Michele Mecarelli
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eric Vanshelboim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Michele Mecarelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eric Vanshelboim than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Mecarelli than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Eric Vanshelboim - Michele Mecarelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vanshelboim is ranked ATP: 420. Mecarelli is ranked ATP: 950.

Vanshelboim is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mecarelli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vanshelboim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vanshelboim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Eric Vanshelboim - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eric Vanshelboim
ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Peter Buldorini	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Dominik Recek	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Herman Hoeyeraal	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 W?LWW
- Michele Mecarelli
ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Michele Mecarelli - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Michele Mecarelli - Stefano DAgostino	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Michele Mecarelli - Daniele Minighini	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Michele Mecarelli - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Michele Mecarelli - Martin Van Der Meerschen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

Eric Vanshelboim - Michele Mecarelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide