Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Poland	Polsat Sport 3


	Fabian Marozsan		Tommy Paul

	1	2
			Watch
	2.41	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.54
	2.53	1.5
	2.25	1.57
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.4)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
39%

Tommy Paul
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Fabian Marozsan - Tommy Paul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tommy Paul will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 46. Paul is ranked ATP: 22.

Marozsan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paul is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Marozsan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.21%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Fabian Marozsan	3:2 ✺
20.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Fabian Marozsan	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL
- Tommy Paul
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Zsombor Piros - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
24.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tommy Paul	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
20.01.26	Tommy Paul - Thiago Augustin Tirante	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Kovacevic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?WW

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