Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Fabian Marozsan		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.15
	1.77	2.22
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.74	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
55.8%

Ethan Quinn
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	0%	85%

Fabian Marozsan - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Quinn will win (votes: 17 - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quinn: 69.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Quinn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 50. Quinn is ranked ATP: 48.

Recent form of Marozsan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Quinn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marozsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marozsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ethan Quinn - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Munich
16.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
07.04.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWL??
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Barcelona
15.04.26	Cameron Norrie - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Reilly Opelka - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Terence Atmane - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Ethan Quinn	1:2

Fabian Marozsan - Ethan Quinn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide