Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Fabian Marozsan		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.37
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.27	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)	2.24 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
57.6%

Flavio Cobolli
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Fabian Marozsan - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Cobolli will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 58. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 36.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Cobolli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marozsan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Munich
19.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Fabian Marozsan - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Justin Engel - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Gael Monfils - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
06.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.08.22	Flavio Cobolli - Fabian Marozsan	0:2

Fabian Marozsan - Flavio Cobolli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide