Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Sebastian Baez		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.55	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	2.46 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
61.5%

Flavio Cobolli
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	3.7%	7.4%

Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Baez will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 36. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 45.

Two players are playing changeable.

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Bucharest
05.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Bucharest
05.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Filip Misolic - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Richard Gasquet - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	Canceled ✺
20.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWW?L

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