Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Reales R. (Esp)


	Fabian Marozsan		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
			Watch
	1.7	2.25
	1.71	2.25
	1.73	2.1
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.63	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	2.24 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
57.4%

Luca Van Assche
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Fabian Marozsan - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Van Assche will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marozsan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Martin Landaluce	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Alex De Minaur - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
25.03.24	Alexei Popyrin - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Fabian Marozsan - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 ?LWWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Luca Van Assche - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.24	Luca Van Assche - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Casper Ruud - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

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