Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain), clay - Final

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Fabio Fognini		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.38
	1.59	2.42	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	2.34 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
60%

Lukas Neumayer
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Fabio Fognini - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Neumayer will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 84. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 259.

Now both players are in good shape.

Fognini will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
23.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
ATP Belgrade 2
05.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
23.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
22.11.24	Lukas Neumayer - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Lukas Neumayer - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.24	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

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