Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - Final

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Poncho A. (Esp)


	Leandro Riedi		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.52
	1.57	2.53
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.37	Watch
	1.55	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	2.4 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
60.8%

Stefano Napolitano
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leandro Riedi's performance.

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Leandro Riedi - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: Leandro Riedi will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Riedi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Riedi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Riedi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
13.04.24	Jurij Rodionov - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Leandro Riedi - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
11.04.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Ignacio Buse - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
05.03.24	Alexander Blockx - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
13.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
12.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Vit Kopriva - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.24	Matteo Martineau - Stefano Napolitano	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?WWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.06.21	Leandro Riedi - Stefano Napolitano	2:1

Leandro Riedi - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide