Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Facundo Bagnis		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.55
	1.53	2.45
	1.49	2.5
	1.51	2.63
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.88)	2.52 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Bagnis
62.6%

Kaichi Uchida
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Bagnis's performance.

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaichi Uchida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Bagnis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaichi Uchida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.8%	0%	4.2%

Facundo Bagnis - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Bagnis will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Uchida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Bagnis
ATP US Open
24.08.22	Facundo Bagnis - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
03.08.22	Facundo Bagnis - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
02.08.22	Facundo Bagnis - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
29.07.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	Facundo Bagnis - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLW
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP US Open
24.08.22	Kaichi Uchida - Dudi Sela	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.22	Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
10.08.22	Antoine Escoffier - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
02.08.22	Kaichi Uchida - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
31.07.22	Kaichi Uchida - Nicolas Barrientos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.06.22	Kaichi Uchida - Facundo Bagnis	2:0

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