Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Facundo Bagnis		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.09	1.76
			Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.25)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Bagnis
43.9%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Facundo Bagnis - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bagnis is ranked ATP: 901. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 282.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bagnis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pucinelli De Almeida might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bagnis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Facundo Bagnis - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Elmer Moller - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. retired ✺
24.04.25	Facundo Bagnis - Renzo Olivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWL?W
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Dali Blanch - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Wilson Leite - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Leonardo Aboian	Canceled ✺
11.05.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. retired

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