Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Henry Bernet		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.37	1.57
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.83)	1.53 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henry Bernet
38.9%

Luka Pavlovic
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henry Bernet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henry Bernet's form might have worsened.

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luka Pavlovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henry Bernet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Henry Bernet - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bernet will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pavlovic: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bernet is ranked ATP: 499. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 221.

Bernet is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pavlovic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pavlovic could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henry Bernet
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Henry Bernet - Moise Kouame	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Henry Bernet - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Henry Bernet - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWL

Henry Bernet - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide