Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.36	3.15
	1.4	3.35
	1.35	3.11	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.4	3.23	Watch
	1.67	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.67)	3.01 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
67.9%

Zhizhen Zhang
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhizhen Zhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhizhen Zhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 150. Zhang is ranked ATP: 239.

Diaz Acosta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Zhang has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diaz Acosta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.26	August Holmgren - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hamburg
16.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Zdenek Kolar - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

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