Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Learner Tien

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.55	1.3
	3.8	1.32
	4.29	1.22	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.83	1.31	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.18)	1.34 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
27.3%

Learner Tien
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Diaz Acosta's form might have worsened.

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Learner Tien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Learner Tien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	0%	86.4%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Learner Tien Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 151. Tien is ranked ATP: 18.

Diaz Acosta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tien is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tien is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Tien will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Zhizhen Zhang	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	August Holmgren - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Learner Tien
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Christian Garin - Learner Tien	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.26	Mariano Navone - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Learner Tien - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW

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