Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Fajing Sun		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.76	2.15
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.63)	2.01 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
53.7%

Rio Noguchi
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Fajing Sun - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 197. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 204.

Sun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noguchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Alex Bolt - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Mark Lajal - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Ognjen Milic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Fajing Sun - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Rio Noguchi - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.22	Fajing Sun - Rio Noguchi	0:2

Fajing Sun - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide