Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Fajing Sun		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
42.6%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Fajing Sun - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 242. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 302.

Sun is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Alvarez Varona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Tiago Pereira - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Fajing Sun - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Fajing Sun - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Fajing Sun - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Elmar Ejupovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

Fajing Sun - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide