Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday


	Rafael Jodar		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.31
			Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)	2.22 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
57.9%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Jodar (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 554. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 307.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alvarez Varona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
27.06.25	Dino Prizmic - Rafael Jodar	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Andres Martin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lucas Gerch	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Elmar Ejupovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

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