Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Federica Urgesi		Elizara Yaneva

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.44
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.77	1.49
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.45	1.54
	2.54	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.97)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
36.9%

Elizara Yaneva
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federica Urgesi's performance.

Elizara Yaneva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elizara Yaneva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elizara Yaneva than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Federica Urgesi - Elizara Yaneva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Urgesi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Yaneva will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 287. Yaneva is ranked WTA: 196.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Urgesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yaneva is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Elizara Yaneva - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 68.67%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	Kotliar Y. Walkover ✺
15.07.26	Francesca Jones - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LWLW
- Elizara Yaneva
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Elizara Yaneva - Martina Trevisan	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Elizara Yaneva - Sofya Lansere	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Elizara Yaneva	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.26	Katie Volynets - Elizara Yaneva	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Elizara Yaneva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

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