Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.56	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)	2.25 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
58.4%

Lukas Neumayer
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Neumayer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Neumayer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 268. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 175.

Recent performances by Diaz Acosta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neumayer has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diaz Acosta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diaz Acosta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Henri Squire - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Oleg Prihodko - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1

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