Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.94	1.91
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.04)	1.89 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
50.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Federico Agustin Gomez - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gomez will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gomez: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gomez (votes: 2 - 40%). Mochizuki (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 187. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 117.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.89%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Denis Yevseyev - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ghanim Al-Sulaiti	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sebastian Ofner	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLW?

Federico Agustin Gomez - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide