Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Sandro Kopp

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.78	2.01	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.48)	2.07 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
54.8%

Sandro Kopp
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Sandro Kopp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sandro Kopp's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandro Kopp than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sandro Kopp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Federico Arnaboldi - Sandro Kopp Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Kopp will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kopp (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 200. Kopp is ranked ATP: 422.

Now both players are in good shape.

Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWW
- Sandro Kopp
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Elias Ymer - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Federico Iannaccone - Sandro Kopp	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL

Federico Arnaboldi - Sandro Kopp: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide