Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.37	2.8	Watch
	1.39	3.07
	1.35	3.08	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	2.86 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
67.4%

Gabriele Pennaforti
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Arnaboldi's performance.

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriele Pennaforti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Arnaboldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriele Pennaforti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pennaforti will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 204. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 389.

Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pennaforti is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arnaboldi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Milos Karol - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide