Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Dimitar Kuzmanov

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.11	1.75
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.8)	1.67 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
43.9%

Dimitar Kuzmanov
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Arnaboldi's performance.

Dimitar Kuzmanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dimitar Kuzmanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Arnaboldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitar Kuzmanov than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dimitar Kuzmanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Federico Arnaboldi - Dimitar Kuzmanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kuzmanov will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kuzmanov: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Federico Arnaboldi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 200. Kuzmanov is ranked ATP: 274.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kuzmanov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kuzmanov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matej Dodig - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL
- Dimitar Kuzmanov
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Mili Poljicak - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Federico Arnaboldi - Dimitar Kuzmanov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide