Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.3	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.7)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
26.9%

Vit Kopriva
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Vit Kopriva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vit Kopriva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Federico Arnaboldi - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: Vit Kopriva will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 220. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 122.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kopriva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kopriva is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
10.02.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWL?L
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Calvin Hemery - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Vit Kopriva - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Vit Kopriva	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLL?

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