Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Federico Cina		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.04	1.7	Watch
	2.11	1.75
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.24)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Cina
45.7%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Cina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Augustin Tirante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Federico Cina - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cina will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tirante will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cina is ranked ATP: 243. Tirante is ranked ATP: 118.

In recent matches, Cina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tirante is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tirante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tirante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tirante will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Federico Cina - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Federico Cina - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Federico Cina - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Federico Cina - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Nerman Fatic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Matej Dodig - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Federico Cina	2:0

Federico Cina - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide