Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - Final

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Matej Dodig		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.36	1.35
			Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	2.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.4)	1.38 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
31.5%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Matej Dodig - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tirante will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Dodig (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dodig (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 368. Tirante is ranked ATP: 121.

Dodig is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tirante is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tirante is a strong favorite.

We predict that Tirante will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dodig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 60%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Matej Dodig - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Matej Dodig - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Pietro Pampanin - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matej Dodig	2:0

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