Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Federico Coria		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	2.17	1.75
			Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
43.6%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Federico Coria - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 138. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Federico Coria - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Federico Coria - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWL?
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
16.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.11.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Coria	2:1
17.02.21	Federico Coria - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
08.07.16	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Coria	0:2

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