Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Coria		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.48	2.48
	1.55	2.4
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.48	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	2.43 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
61.6%

Elmer Moller
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Federico Coria - Elmer Moller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 124. Moller is ranked ATP: 156.

Recent matches Coria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moller is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
08.03.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Elmer Moller - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Elmer Moller - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Elmer Moller - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Elmer Moller - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

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