Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Punta Del Este (Uruguay), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	Federico Coria		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.62	2.4
	1.59	2.31	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
59%

Emilio Nava
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Federico Coria - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Nava will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 96. Nava is ranked ATP: 211.

Recent matches Coria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nava is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Coria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Coria - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Federico Coria - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Federico Coria - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Tristan Boyer - Federico Coria	3:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.11.24	Damir Dzumhur - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
29.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Emilio Nava - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Daniel Vallejo - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
16.01.25	Emilio Nava - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Emilio Nava - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW

Federico Coria - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide