Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Daniel Vallejo		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.33
	1.57	2.34	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.77)	2.25 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
57.7%

Emilio Nava
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emilio Nava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emilio Nava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Daniel Vallejo - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Nava will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Vallejo (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Emilio Nava will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nava (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 106. Nava is ranked ATP: 79.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vallejo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Vallejo	Passaro F. retired ✺
22.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Radu David Turcanu	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWL?
- Emilio Nava
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Emilio Nava - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Emilio Nava - Cameron Norrie	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Emilio Nava - Kyrian Jacquet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Vallejo	0:2
22.03.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Vallejo	2:0
21.01.25	Daniel Vallejo - Emilio Nava	1:2

Daniel Vallejo - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide