Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTA FE 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Federico Coria		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.38
	1.57	2.25
	1.5	2.46	Watch
	1.58	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	2.3 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
59.4%

Jozef Kovalik
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Federico Coria - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kovalik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kovalik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Coria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Federico Coria - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Federico Coria - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Federico Coria - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Federico Coria - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
16.10.23	Franco Agamenone - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Jozef Kovalik - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.20	Federico Coria - Jozef Kovalik	2:0
ATP Challenger
09.10.17	Jozef Kovalik - Federico Coria	1:2

Federico Coria - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide