Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Coria		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.82	1.88
	1.89	1.81
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.57)	1.86 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
50.3%

Sumit Nagal
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Federico Coria - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nagal will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sumit Nagal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 153. Nagal is ranked ATP: 302.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Coria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Sumit Nagal - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Coria	Canceled ✺
07.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Federico Coria - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Federico Coria - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LWLW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Sumit Nagal - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Sumit Nagal - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.09.19	Sumit Nagal - Federico Coria	2:0

Federico Coria - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide