The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 45.9%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio 54.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's form might have worsened.
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Meligeni will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Varillas will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Meligeni is ranked ATP: 463., and Varillas is ranked ATP: 193..
Meligeni is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Varillas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Meligeni may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Varillas in today's match, at odds of 1.76.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Meligeni has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 0.6:1.6 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.3%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.