Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Christian Garin

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.68	2.18
	1.67	2.13
	1.72	2.25
	1.73	2.1
	1.62	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
56.4%

Christian Garin
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Francis Tiafoe - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 45 - 60%). Garin will win (votes: 30 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 48.9% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Garin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Estoril
01.05.22	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
29.04.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
27.04.22	Nuno Borges - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
25.04.22	Dusan Lajovic - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWWW
- Christian Garin
ATP Munich
27.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
26.04.22	Filip Krajinovic - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Belgrade
18.04.22	Christian Garin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
09.04.22	John Isner - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 L?L?L

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