Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	17:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	18:00	HBO Max
Croatia	17:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	17:00	HBO Max
Denmark	17:00	HBO Max
Finland	18:00	HBO Max
Poland	17:00	HBO Max
Sweden	17:00	HBO Max


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.2	Watch
	1.32	3.4
	1.36	3.5
	1.4	2.94	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)	3.3 ↑ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
71%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Roman Andres Burruchaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Aliassime-Auger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roman Andres Burruchaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 6. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 68.

Aliassime-Auger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burruchaga's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 65.98%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 34.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Baez S. Retired ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Pierre Delage - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LLWL

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Roman Andres Burruchaga