Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Roman Andres Burruchaga		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.38	3.05
	1.42	3.24
	1.37	2.98	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	3.05 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Andres Burruchaga
68.7%

Mattia Bellucci
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Burruchaga will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Bellucci will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burruchaga: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 56. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 80.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Burruchaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 66.01%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mattia Bellucci - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW

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