Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Alexander Blockx		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	3.64	1.36
	3.56	1.3	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.11	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.55)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Blockx
30.1%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Blockx's form might have worsened.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Blockx, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	0%	92%

Alexander Blockx - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Aliassime-Auger (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blockx is ranked ATP: 69. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 5.

In recent matches, Blockx has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aliassime-Auger is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Blockx may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliassime-Auger is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Aliassime-Auger will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.43%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Blockx
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WW?LW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	3:2 ✺
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

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