Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.59
	1.51	2.57	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
62.2%

Mariano Navone
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Navone will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Navone (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 5. Navone is ranked ATP: 44.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aliassime-Auger will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aliassime-Auger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	3:2 ✺
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Denis Shapovalov - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Mariano Navone - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Mariano Navone - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
15.04.25	Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1

Upcoming Matches