Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Filip Krajinovic		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.75	1.18
	4.7	1.2
	5.22	1.19
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.95	1.18	Watch
	5	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (3.13)	1.18 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Krajinovic
19.5%

Andrey Rublev
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Krajinovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Filip Krajinovic's form might have worsened.

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Rublev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Krajinovic than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Filip Krajinovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Rublev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Filip Krajinovic - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Krajinovic is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rublev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rublev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rublev is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Krajinovic won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Krajinovic
ATP Marseille
20.02.23	Alexander Bublik - Filip Krajinovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Montpellier
09.02.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	Filip Krajinovic - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Filip Krajinovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3 ✺
ATP Pune
05.01.23	Filip Krajinovic - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Doha
23.02.23	Andrey Rublev - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
22.02.23	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
15.02.23	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
25.01.23	Andrey Rublev - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
22.01.23	Andrey Rublev - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
10.05.22	Andrey Rublev - Filip Krajinovic	0:2
ATP Dubai
26.02.20	Andrey Rublev - Filip Krajinovic	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.20	Filip Krajinovic - Andrey Rublev	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
22.11.19	Filip Krajinovic - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Moscow
17.10.17	Andrey Rublev - Filip Krajinovic	0:2

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