Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Andrey Rublev		Tallon Griekspoor

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.25	Watch
	1.37	3.41
	1.35	3.23	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.37	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)	3.26 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
70.7%

Tallon Griekspoor
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrey Rublev's performance.

Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallon Griekspoor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrey Rublev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallon Griekspoor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	0%	14.8%

Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Griekspoor (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Rublev (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrey Rublev will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 9 - 90%). Griekspoor (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 18. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 25.

Now, both players are in good form.

Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rublev is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Otto Virtanen - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0
ATP Halle
23.06.23	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1
ATP Doha
22.02.23	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1

Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide