Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tbilisi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Florent Bax		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.76	2.1
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	2.08 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
55.2%

Kaichi Uchida
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Florent Bax - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bax is ranked ATP: 382. Uchida is ranked ATP: 470.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
10.05.25	Florent Bax - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Leo Borg - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Taha Baadi - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Florent Bax - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
19.05.25	Robert Strombachs - Kaichi Uchida	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Kaichi Uchida - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Johannus Monday - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Kaichi Uchida - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Kaichi Uchida - David Prasievi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 ?LWWW

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