Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mallorca 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Francesca Curmi		Elizara Yaneva

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.78
	1.97	1.80
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	2.01	1.78
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.03	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.56)	1.76 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
46.9%

Elizara Yaneva
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Curmi's performance.

Elizara Yaneva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elizara Yaneva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Curmi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elizara Yaneva than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elizara Yaneva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesca Curmi - Elizara Yaneva Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Curmi will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Yaneva will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 233., and Yaneva is ranked WTA: 146..

Curmi has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Yaneva have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Yaneva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Curmi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Elizara Yaneva - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
12.10.26	Eva Vedder - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Francesca Curmi - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Francesca Curmi - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Francesca Curmi - Maayan Laron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Elizara Yaneva
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Carole Monnet - Elizara Yaneva	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Elizara Yaneva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Elizara Yaneva - Sonja Zhenikhova	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Elizara Yaneva - Giulia Safina Popa	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Elizara Yaneva - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Elizara Yaneva - Francesca Curmi	2:0

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