Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Matthew Donald		Francesco Forti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.71	1.53
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.64)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
36.4%

Francesco Forti
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Francesco Forti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Matthew Donald - Francesco Forti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 485. Forti is ranked ATP: 413.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Forti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Sebastian Sorger - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Manuel Plunger - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW
- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Stefan Dostanic - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Francesco Forti - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Francesco Forti - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW

Matthew Donald - Francesco Forti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide