Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Mert Alkaya		Juan Pablo Ficovich

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.81	1.95	Watch
	1.98	1.84
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.96	1.82	Watch
	1.82	1.86	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	1.85 (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
49.6%

Juan Pablo Ficovich
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Juan Pablo Ficovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Ficovich than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Mert Alkaya - Juan Pablo Ficovich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 311. Ficovich is ranked ATP: 224.

In recent matches, Alkaya has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ficovich is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ficovich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mert Alkaya - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Juan Pablo Ficovich - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
13.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Sebastian Dominko - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW
- Juan Pablo Ficovich
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Robin Bertrand - Juan Pablo Ficovich	Canceled ✺
08.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Ozan Baris - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Keegan Smith - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?LLL

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