Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday


	Francesco Passaro		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.18
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	2.19 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
57.3%

Denis Yevseyev
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Yevseyev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francesco Passaro - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 108. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 246.

Passaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Yevseyev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Passaro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Hong Kong
28.12.24	Francesco Passaro - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.12.24	Francesco Passaro - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Andrej Martin - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
29.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW
- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Hong Kong
28.12.24	Denis Yevseyev - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.11.24	Daniel Rincon - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
22.11.24	Fabio Fognini - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Denis Yevseyev - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Denis Yevseyev - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW

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