Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday


	Francesco Passaro		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.6	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)	2.27 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
58.8%

Aziz Dougaz
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aziz Dougaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Dougaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Francesco Passaro - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dougaz will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 108. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 227.

Passaro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dougaz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Passaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
01.12.24	Francesco Passaro - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Andrej Martin - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
29.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Aidan Mayo - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Justin Engel - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
25.11.24	Keegan Smith - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Aidan Mayo - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Aziz Dougaz - Patrick Zahraj	Dougaz A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWL?

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