Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francesco Passaro		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3	1.38
	3.05	1.35
	3.36	1.38
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.32	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.61)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
30.1%

Mackenzie McDonald
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackenzie McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Francesco Passaro - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: Mackenzie McDonald will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

McDonald will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Florence
11.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	David Goffin - Francesco Passaro	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Zdenek Kolar - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
28.09.22	Timofey Skatov - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
26.09.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 W?LLW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Florence
12.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
04.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
ATP Seoul
30.09.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
29.09.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mackenzie McDonald	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWL?

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