Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Francesco Passaro		Marko Topo

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.42	2.62	Watch
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	2.61 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
64.4%

Marko Topo
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesco Passaro - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Topo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Passaro (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Passaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 128. Topo is ranked ATP: 282.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Passaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Passaro could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Marko Topo - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.08%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Marco Cecchinato	Canceled ✺
11.11.25	Liam Broady - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Francesco Passaro - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WW?LL
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Marko Topo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Matej Dodig - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Patrick Kaukovalta - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Chris Rodesch - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

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