Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday


	Matej Dodig		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.7	1.4
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.84	1.44
	2.58	1.47
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.19)	1.42 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
34.4%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikoloz Basilashvili's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikoloz Basilashvili, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matej Dodig - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 269. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 214.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Dodig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Basilashvili will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
13.11.24	Matej Dodig - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
11.11.24	Matej Dodig - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
04.11.24	Matej Dodig - Alex Bolt	Dodig M. retired ✺
08.10.24	Dennis Novak - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LW?LL
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mattia Bellucci	Canceled ✺
03.11.24	Taro Daniel - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWL?W

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