Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.89	2
	1.81	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.58)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
52.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francis Tiafoe's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 18. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 48.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
03.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Fabian Marozsan - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Estoril
29.04.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

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