Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Francis Tiafoe		Yoshihito Nishioka

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.09	7
	1.09	6.96	Watch
	1.11	7.62
	1.10	6.83	Watch
	1.1	7
	1.1	8.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 (1.1)	7.32 ↑ (7)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
87%

Yoshihito Nishioka
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nishioka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 14. Nishioka is ranked ATP: 130.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3.

Tiafoe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nishioka is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tiafoe is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Tiafoe F. retired ✺
11.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WWLW
- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Terence Atmane - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Ethan Quinn - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2
ATP Atlanta
26.07.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Francis Tiafoe	2:0
ATP Acapulco
27.02.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Toronto
10.08.21	Yoshihito Nishioka - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Estoril
02.05.19	Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1
ATP Challenger
09.07.16	Yoshihito Nishioka - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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